By Susan Page, USA TODAY, July 10, 2007
WASHINGTON — Opposition to the Iraq war has reached a record high, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, a development likely to complicate President Bush's efforts to hold together Republican support as the Senate begins debate this week on Pentagon priorities.
Bush's approval rating has reached a new low: 29%.
In the survey, taken Friday through Sunday, one in five Americans say the increase in U.S. forces in Iraq since January has made the situation there better. Half say it hasn't made a difference.
More than seven in 10 favor removing nearly all U.S. troops from Iraq by April.
GRAPHIC: Bush approval rating over time
POLL RESULTS: Full poll results
USA TODAY ON POLITICS: Other polls show similar rating
VIDEO: Gallup compares presidential approval ratings
Still, 55% say Congress should wait to develop a new policy on Iraq until Gen. David Petraeus, commander of U.S. forces in Iraq, delivers a promised assessment in September; 40% say Congress should act now.
The White House is scrambling to prevent more defections among Republicans in the debate over the defense authorization bill, a platform for amendments on the war. Such senior GOP senators as Richard Lugar of Indiana and Pete Domenici of New Mexico in recent days have called on Bush to change course in Iraq.
"It makes it much harder for him to hold any Republican in the House or Senate," says Dean Lacy of Dartmouth College, who studies public opinion. "They have to run for re-election. They realize now that Bush can't help them at all; he may hurt them."
White House spokesman Tony Fratto declined to discuss the findings. "We really don't pay much attention to polls," he says. "I know they're fun, self-generating news hooks, but we don't make policy decisions based on which way the wind is blowing."
Bush's support is eroding among Republicans: 68% approve of him, down from an average 92% in his first term, 82% in his second. Nearly 4 in 10 Republicans say the immigration debate, which ended in defeat for Bush's overhaul proposal, caused them to lose confidence in him.
The poll of 1,014 adults has an error margin of +/—3 percentage points for the full sample, 5 points for the GOP subsample.
The results reflect broad dissatisfaction with Bush and the country's direction:
•Sixty-two percent say the United States made a mistake in sending troops to Iraq, the first time that number has topped 60%.
•Two-thirds say Bush shouldn't have intervened in the case of former White House aide Lewis "Scooter" Libby, who was sentenced to 2½ years in prison for perjury and obstruction of justice in the investigation of who leaked a CIA operative's identity. Bush voided Libby's prison sentence but let his conviction stand.
•Six in 10 say the economy is worse than it was five years ago, and the same number predict that economic conditions are getting worse.
Bush now has had both the highest approval rating in Gallup's history — 90% in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks — and one of the lowest. Among modern presidents, only Richard Nixon, Harry Truman and Jimmy Carter ever had a lower rating.
By 62%-36%, those surveyed say an impeachment inquiry against Bush, promoted by some liberal websites including ImpeachBush.com, wouldn't be justified. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says Congress has no intention of holding such proceedings. Republicans oppose the idea 91%-9%. Democrats support it 54%-44%.